Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.000017 0.000019 0.000021 0.000024 0.000027 0.000030 0.000035
2025-02-16 0.000014 0.000016 0.000019 0.000023 0.000029 0.000036 0.000046
2025-02-23 0.000012 0.000015 0.000018 0.000024 0.000032 0.000043 0.000061
2025-03-02 0.000011 0.000014 0.000018 0.000024 0.000034 0.000050 0.000079
2025-03-09 0.000010 0.000013 0.000017 0.000024 0.000036 0.000056 0.000097
2025-03-16 0.000009 0.000012 0.000016 0.000024 0.000037 0.000062 0.000116
2025-03-23 0.000008 0.000011 0.000016 0.000024 0.000039 0.000068 0.000142
2025-03-30 0.000008 0.000011 0.000016 0.000024 0.000041 0.000076 0.000173
2025-04-06 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000024 0.000042 0.000083 0.000207
2025-04-13 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000024 0.000043 0.000089 0.000244
2025-04-20 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000024 0.000045 0.000097 0.000295
2025-04-27 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000024 0.000046 0.000106 0.000359
2025-05-04 0.000006 0.000008 0.000013 0.000024 0.000047 0.000113 0.000429
2025-05-11 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000024 0.000049 0.000125 0.000543
2025-05-18 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000024 0.000052 0.000142 0.000731
2025-05-25 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000025 0.000055 0.000162 0.001003
2025-06-01 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000024 0.000057 0.000176 0.001295
2025-06-08 0.000005 0.000007 0.000012 0.000024 0.000058 0.000189 0.001653
2025-06-15 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000024 0.000060 0.000209 0.002276
2025-06-22 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000024 0.000062 0.000232 0.003249
2025-06-29 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000024 0.000063 0.000251 0.004476
2025-07-06 0.000004 0.000006 0.000011 0.000024 0.000064 0.000268 0.006165
2025-07-13 0.000004 0.000006 0.000011 0.000024 0.000066 0.000294 0.009447